Douglas Murray: Why Israel Is Conquering Its Enemies and Winning (2026)

There are moments in global history when the noise of the daily news cycle becomes so deafening that it completely obscures the actual ground reality. Personally, I think we are living through one of those precise moments right now, especially when looking at the protracted, multi-front conflict surrounding Israel.

From my perspective, the world is suffering from a profound short-term memory crisis. When a commercial flight bound for Tel Aviv recently faced an attempted hijacking—a terrifying echo of 1970s terror tactics abruptly thwarted by courageous passengers—it served as a visceral reminder of a persistent truth: Israel's adversaries never sleep, and the threats facing the nation remain absolute and unyielding. Yet, as we approach another somber anniversary of the October 7 massacres, what most mainstream commentators refuse to acknowledge is the sheer magnitude of Israel's strategic turnaround.

The Battle of Perception Versus the Reality on the Ground

What makes this geopolitical dynamic particularly fascinating is the staggering disconnect between digital narrative and physical reality. If you spend any time scrolling through social media or listening to institutional pundits, you would easily walk away with the conviction that Israel is collapsing under a wave of total defeat.

In my opinion, this perception gap is one of the most brilliant—and dangerous—tricks of modern information warfare. The internet loves a narrative of doom, and hyper-critical activists have mastered the art of manufacturing digital consensus. But if you take a step back and think about it, a brutal paradox emerges: Israel has effectively been winning the war on the ground while taking a severe beating in the global public relations war.

What many people don't realize is how little online sentiment actually dictates hard military outcomes. While a hostile Twitter or TikTok feed can ruin a country's reputation in elite cultural capitals, it cannot protect hostile proxy networks from total tactical dismantling. History is rarely written by whoever wins the internet for a week; it is written by who survives on the ground.

Shifting the Balance of Power in the Middle East

A detail that I find especially interesting is how completely the strategic equation has shifted over the past few years. Adversaries that once looked untouchable, entrenched behind decades of asymmetric buildup, have found themselves systematically outmatched, degraded, and stripped of their regional deterrence.

  • Systematic Deterrence: The capability to project power right to the doorstep of hostile regimes has fundamentally altered the calculus of the entire Middle East.
  • Resilience Under Fire: The daily endurance of a society that refuses to buckle despite constant existential threats is a psychological defeat for those who sought its total destruction.
  • The Myth of Inevitable Decline: Narratives forecasting imminent collapse have routinely collided with the harsh reality of tactical adaptation and raw military execution.

What this really suggests is that conventional wisdom among foreign policy experts is often wildly detached from actual hard power dynamics. When you look at how Israel has systematically confronted its enemies across multiple borders—from Gaza to Lebanon and beyond—it becomes clear that we are witnessing a massive reordering of regional power. The adversaries who once promised to wipe the nation off the map are now scrambling to preserve what is left of their infrastructure.

The Deeper Cost of Winning the Wrong War

This raises a deeper question that Western observers rarely dare to ask: Are we so addicted to polite, sanitized optics that we would rather see a democracy lose a real war cleanly than win an ugly one while being shouted at?

From where I sit, the obsession with global applause is a luxury that frontline nations simply cannot afford. If forced to choose between winning the physical war for survival or winning the approval of international editorial boards, any rational nation will choose survival every single time. The tragedy is that Israel has had to do both, bearing the agonizing human cost of October 7 while simultaneously fighting off a coalition of radicals dedicated to its eradication.

Ultimately, as we reflect on these turbulent years, the takeaway is clear. Israel is not merely surviving its enemies; it is actively subverting their grand designs against all odds. The noise will continue, the pundits will keep manufacturing outrage, but on the ground, the reality remains unchanged: an unyielding nation is rewriting the future of its neighborhood, whether the world is comfortable watching it or not.

Douglas Murray: Why Israel Is Conquering Its Enemies and Winning (2026)
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